What Happens if the EU Pushes Through Chat Control?
A look at potential user migration and platform shifts if the EU implements stricter message scanning policies.
The AdBlock Mobile Team
December 15, 2025
I recently came across a thought-provoking discussion about the potential ramifications of the EU's proposed Chat Control legislation. The core question revolved around where users would migrate if the EU were to enforce message scanning or weaken end-to-end encryption. This got me thinking about the future of privacy-focused communication and the real-world choices people might make.
Let’s consider the possible scenarios and the platforms that could benefit.
The Potential Fallout of Chat Control
Before exploring alternative platforms, it's crucial to understand the implications of Chat Control. At its heart, it raises serious concerns about privacy, security, and freedom of expression. The prospect of widespread message scanning, even with the best intentions, opens the door to potential abuse and surveillance. Weakening end-to-end encryption would essentially create backdoors, making communications vulnerable to malicious actors.
This isn't just about hiding illicit activities. It's about protecting the privacy of everyday citizens, journalists, activists, and anyone who values secure communication. If Chat Control becomes a reality, many users will understandably seek alternative platforms that prioritize privacy.
Possible User Migration Scenarios
The discussion I read highlighted several potential scenarios for user migration. Let’s examine each one:
Sticking with WhatsApp/Telegram
Despite the privacy concerns, a significant portion of users might simply stick with WhatsApp and Telegram. These platforms have massive user bases, offering convenience and widespread connectivity. Many users may not be fully aware of the privacy risks or may prioritize convenience over security. Network effects are powerful, and the inertia of existing relationships can be difficult to overcome.
However, this scenario assumes that WhatsApp and Telegram will fully comply with Chat Control. If these platforms implement message scanning or weaken encryption, they could face a backlash from privacy-conscious users. The long-term viability of this scenario depends on the specific implementation of Chat Control and the response of these major platforms.
Signal Pulling Out of the EU
Signal, renowned for its strong encryption and privacy focus, could potentially pull out of the EU if Chat Control compromises its core principles. This would be a drastic step, but it would send a powerful message about the importance of privacy. Signal's reputation is built on trust, and compromising its security would severely damage its brand.
If Signal were to pull out, it would likely become inaccessible through official app stores within the EU. Users would need to sideload the app or use VPNs to access it, which could create a barrier to entry for less tech-savvy individuals. However, it would also solidify Signal's position as a champion of privacy and attract users who are willing to go the extra mile to protect their communications.
Migration to Smaller/Self-Hosted/Federated Platforms
This scenario involves a shift towards smaller, more decentralized platforms that prioritize privacy and user control. These platforms often offer end-to-end encryption, open-source code, and the ability to self-host or federate with other servers. Examples include Matrix, XMPP, and various self-hosted messaging solutions.
While these platforms offer greater privacy and control, they also come with challenges. They often have smaller user bases, which can limit connectivity. Setting up and managing self-hosted solutions can be technically demanding. Federated platforms can be fragmented, making it difficult to find and connect with other users.
Despite these challenges, this scenario represents the most promising path towards a truly privacy-respecting communication ecosystem. It requires a shift in mindset, from relying on centralized platforms to embracing decentralized alternatives. The discussion I followed seemed to indicate that this is the most likely scenario for users who actively seek privacy.
Evaluating Potential Alternative Platforms
Let's take a closer look at some of the potential alternative platforms:
Matrix
Pros:
- Open-source and decentralized
- End-to-end encryption
- Bridges to other messaging platforms
- Growing ecosystem
Cons:
- Can be resource-intensive
- User interface can be clunky
- Federation can be complex
My Take: Matrix offers a compelling alternative to centralized messaging platforms. Its decentralized nature and end-to-end encryption provide strong privacy guarantees. The ability to bridge to other platforms is a major advantage, allowing users to communicate with contacts on WhatsApp, Telegram, and other services. However, Matrix can be resource-intensive, and its user interface may not be as polished as some mainstream apps.
XMPP
Pros:
- Open standard
- Decentralized and federated
- Extensible and customizable
- Long history of development
Cons:
- Can be complex to set up
- Fragmentation of clients and servers
- End-to-end encryption not always enabled by default
My Take: XMPP is a mature and well-established messaging protocol. Its decentralized and federated nature provides strong privacy and resilience. However, XMPP can be complex to set up and configure, and the fragmentation of clients and servers can be confusing for new users. End-to-end encryption is not always enabled by default, requiring users to manually configure it.
Self-Hosted Messaging Solutions
Pros:
- Full control over data and infrastructure
- Customizable and extensible
- Can be tailored to specific needs
Cons:
- Requires technical expertise
- Responsible for security and maintenance
- Limited user base
My Take: Self-hosted messaging solutions offer the ultimate in privacy and control. Users have full control over their data and infrastructure, and they can customize the solution to meet their specific needs. However, self-hosting requires technical expertise and a significant time commitment. Users are responsible for security and maintenance, and the limited user base can restrict communication options.
Briar
Pros:
- Designed for secure communication in hostile environments
- End-to-end encryption
- Peer-to-peer communication
- No central server
Cons:
- Limited features
- Requires users to be in close proximity to exchange initial keys
- Smaller user base
My Take: Briar is a unique messaging app designed for secure communication in hostile environments. It uses end-to-end encryption and peer-to-peer communication, eliminating the need for a central server. This makes it resistant to censorship and surveillance. However, Briar has limited features and requires users to be in close proximity to exchange initial keys, which can be a barrier to adoption.
My Personal Choice
If Chat Control were to be implemented in a way that fundamentally compromises privacy, I would personally switch to a combination of Matrix and a self-hosted messaging solution. Matrix offers a good balance of privacy, features, and usability, while a self-hosted solution would provide the ultimate in control and customization. I would also explore Briar for situations where maximum security and resilience are required.
I recognize that these alternatives may not be suitable for everyone. Many users will likely stick with WhatsApp and Telegram due to convenience and network effects. However, for those who prioritize privacy, the migration to smaller, decentralized platforms is a viable and increasingly attractive option.
The Importance of Education and Awareness
Ultimately, the success of any privacy-focused messaging platform depends on education and awareness. Users need to understand the risks of centralized platforms and the benefits of decentralized alternatives. They need to be empowered to make informed choices about their communication tools.
This is where resources like AdBlock for Mobile can play a crucial role. By providing information and tools to protect privacy and block unwanted content, we can help users take control of their online experience. The more people who understand the importance of privacy, the more likely they are to adopt privacy-respecting messaging platforms.
The Future of Messaging
The future of messaging is uncertain, but one thing is clear: privacy will continue to be a major concern. As governments and corporations seek to collect and analyze more data, users will increasingly demand tools and platforms that protect their privacy and security. The rise of decentralized messaging platforms is a testament to this trend.
Whether it's Matrix, XMPP, Briar, or some other platform, the key is to embrace solutions that prioritize user control, end-to-end encryption, and open-source development. By supporting these platforms and educating others about the importance of privacy, we can help create a more secure and equitable communication ecosystem.
The discussion I followed online served as a great reminder that we can’t be complacent about our digital rights. We need to proactively seek out and support platforms that align with our values.
Ready to take control of your online privacy? Check out our setup guides for step-by-step instructions on configuring DNS-based ad blocking and other privacy-enhancing tools.
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